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The movie "Captain America: Civil War" is 1) supposed to be about registration of super-human individuals, or something like that, and 2) is supposed to be about a conflict between Steve Rogers and Tony Stark. That's basically what I've heard.

Three things that make me suspect that I will dislike "Civil War", no matter how objectively good or bad it is, just because of what it means for the MCU:

1) Genre

The difference between fantasy and science fiction has been discussed many places, and there are many edge cases and works that are hard to classify, but one of my favorite ways of doing the classifications is this:

--> Science fiction is about the kind of stuff that everyone can do. Sufficiently advanced technology might be indistinguishable from magic, but if everyone has equal ability (not necessarily equal access) to do this "magic", then it's science fiction.

--> Fantasy is about the kind of talents that are inborn. If you're born special, then you can do magic, if you're not born special, then you will never be able to do magic.

(Sadly, I can't remember where this comes from or I would link / give credit. It's something I read on the internet, I'm pretty sure, but not recently...and yeah, that narrows it down, doesn't it?)

Before the MCU, super-heroes were mostly fantasy, by this definition, and I didn't pay a lot of attention to them. Watched the occasional movie, felt sort of whatever about the whole concept. (Loved The Incredibles, though, probably because it was at least a second generation story, reflecting on the premise and the way it was usually developed instead of just accepting it, and taking it in a different direction?)

But mostly, pre-MCU, super-heroes were not a winning concept with me. Then the MCU came along, and the intertwined movie idea was interesting narratively, and...well, I read the Responsible Science series, which is amazing, and I got drawn into reading more MCU stuff...but I think one thing that drew me to it was that it wasn't about people with mysterious abilities and what they chose to do with them, it was (mostly) about people who chose in various ways to develop powerful technologies, or who were acted upon by other people who were making choices... It all fit together as a result of human choices. (Or alien choices, in the case of Asgardians, etc.)

And basically, it was also about ordinary people, pretty much. (Except Thor, who isn't my favorite, and even his story is about becoming ordinary, not about becoming king but about becoming worthy by connecting with the ordinary person that's inside of him, learning to care.) Tony Stark is ordinary by virtue of his many flaws, Bruce Banner is struggling against a very ordinary emotion -- anger -- and it's forcing him to learn humility after his arrogance ruined his life, Steve Rogers is just a kid from Brooklyn, and Natasha and Clint are not super-powered, they're just awesome.

But "registration" -- I don't know how they're going to get there, something to do with Agents of SHIELD? And some group called the Inhumans? But I've seen this "registration" story before in other super-hero franchises, and when that's where it's going, then suddenly it's not about technologies and people affected by technologies, it's not about human choices but rather about mysterious special individuals (who are being persecuted because of the fear of the masses) -- it's fantasy.

I love fantasy as a genre, but I do have very specific things that I want out of my fantasy magic. Either it needs to be numinous -- which superhero stuff most definitely is not -- or there needs to be a magic system that's well defined. I mean, I loved Naomi Novik's recent book Uprooted, and a big part of what I loved was that the magic was interestingly defined and the way it was set up caused very interesting things to happen with the two main characters' relationship (it's also a good story overall).

It's whatever we say it is as a magic system, on the other hand, tends to drive me nuts.

The MCU seems to be determined to drive me nuts. They promised me science, maybe not real science, but at least sorta maybe science fiction science, and now they want to give me my very least favorite kind of magic, but what I want is still science.

2) Cherry-picking the Consequences

On the other hand, I do want to see the world advance in response to all this technology that our world doesn't have. Plus, I've heard that Civil War is supposed to be about super-hero accountability, which sounds like something that would be interesting to explore (if it doesn't end up breaking the whole idea of super-heroes).

So yeah, maybe it's time to see some of this technology have an effect on the world at large, instead of being held close...

Like...Extremis becomes available in hospitals. The world becomes unrecognizable. People live forever. Woooo, real science fiction happens!

Probably not happening in the MCU, right?

The future is here, it's just not well distributed yet -- that's not how the MCU works, is it? Steve Rogers can remain the only successful super-soldier ever, indefinitely. Tony Stark can invent a new element (or whatever, Iron Man 2 makes no sense) and we can count ourselves lucky that we see it leading to a new form of green energy, but it doesn't totally revolutionize science and enable a space elevator or something.

So those consequences, pretty sure we're not getting them. But the other kind of consequences, the kind where suddenly "normal" people are afraid of super-heroes and something must be done -- we're going to get that?

Basically, it really does come down to all the implications of the word "registration", especially when it's registration of individual people.

What if we called it licensing? You need a license in order to fly an Iron Man suit. Would that be even vaguely controversial? Could they have so much as a fist-fight over that issue? I don't think so.

"Registration" seems to be about identifying some people as "other" based on some characteristic, with the threat of persecuting them because of this hanging over them, and okay, it's true that we've been seeing our heroes defy the government, fairly frequently (starting with Tony Stark and then Natasha Romanoff in Cap2 -- I thought the second was ridiculous and out of character but maybe it was setting up something?) -- but nothing in the worldbuilding of the movies supports the idea of a super-hero class. And it doesn't make any sense to have registration if you don't have lots of people to be registered...

And sure, fear of super-powers makes sense -- if super-powered people are coming out of nowhere, and you know that you are always going to be "normal". But if, for example, you thought that you could have access to Extremis if you were in a terrible car accident or something, would you be all about persecuting people who were "superhuman"? If it wasn't special, if it was the future...

I mean, sure, there's still going to be fear, but...

One of my least favorite bits in Iron Man 3 is the part where Killian comes to Pepper with technology that can regenerate limbs, and Pepper's like, oh, no, we can't invest in that, it has military applications. And every time I just stare at her in total disbelief because he's talking about regenerating limbs. How is that not a good thing? The most amazing medical technology ever... Seriously, how is that not a good thing?

If you start picking and choosing what things mean, or which actions have consequences and which don't, and only take the parts that escalate the story toward some predetermined point of maximum polarization, then you don't have a world, you have a narrative convenience. (Admittedly, I think there's a possibility that "world == narrative convenience" is where the "connected movies" idea has to go, because if you need a different challenge for every movie, and every challenge has to be movie sized, i.e. totally world-shaking...)

I see this an another genre thing. Superheroes angsting about powers -- totally within the super-hero genre. Super-heroes actually changing the world...

Not so much, I guess.

So yeah, actions have consequences is nice, but if only some actions have consequences, leading to only the stories that fit within the super-hero genre, then ...

Well, fair enough, they're doing super-heroes, but every movie tears the world apart a little more... And somehow, to me, cherry-picking which actions have consequences and ignoring the rest isn't ever going to get to true accountability, it's just unfair storytelling.

3) They fight each other

Okay, I admit it, all of this is actually not terrible if the villains are clearly villains, I can probably forgive the movie for not making sense, becoming a pure fantasy, ignoring continuity, etc., but Civil War is supposed to be about all the MCU characters fighting each other. And super-hero movies are all about actual fights, it's not like they're going to have anything but a physical bash at each other...over politics.

I really don't want to see all my favorite characters fighting because of some totally random "registration" issue that seems to belong to a totally different universe than the one I've been watching. Actually, I don't want my favorite characters actually coming to blows over politics at all. The villains are supposed to bring the violence, and the world is supposed to be civilized enough to settle political differences through political means. I'll even go for arresting the evil Vice President, but not for fighting in the streets. I do not like political issues being settled by violence, which is what "Civil War" seems to be promising me...

So yeah. Maybe it'll be better than this, maybe I'd be better off if I'd never heard anything about the movie and just went to watch it next year and found out what it was about that way, but this is why I'm not looking forward to it.
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